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I was also trying to figure out who will win this election.
What I will say is Congress will not come into power for they had made a lot of corruption and if we checkout 2004, 2009 elections people tried Congress again giving the best result, and they destroyed.
Now if AAP was ruling in Delhi then the BJP would have come to force in central. But due to the game play against creating a law both the BJP and Congress are not different. So the chances of BJP to get more votes has been decreased.
Many small parties will gain from this election, and yes we will need to wait and see to get a clear picture .
Thank you for the information.